China’s Trade Outlook Amid U.S Tariffs Stability and Strategy
Wang, also China’s International Trade Representative, said China would be able to “resolve and resist” the impact of external shocks, responding to a question about the impact of potential tariffs from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump.
“We believe that China and the U.S. can maintain a stable, healthy, and sustainable development trend in economic and trade relations,” Wang said at a press conference in Beijing.
China is also willing to “expand areas of cooperation and manage differences” with the U.S., Wang said.
With Trump’s threat to impose tariffs in excess of 60% on all Chinese goods, which has rattled Chinese manufacturers and accelerated factory relocation to Southeast Asia and other regions, Chinese exporters are bracing for any trade disruptions.
Economists polled believe the United States could impose nearly 40% tariffs on imports from China early next year, potentially slicing growth in the world’s second-biggest economy by up to 1 percentage point.
Chinese authorities on Thursday announced a series of policy measures aimed at boosting foreign trade, including pledging to strengthen financing support to firms and expand exports of agricultural products.
The trade turmoil of Trump’s first presidency will also bring impacts on the Chinese yuan. The yuan rallied 10% through the first 18 months before sliding about 12% through his imposition of tariffs and the pandemic.
“Our basic judgment is that the yuan exchange rate will remain stable at a reasonable and balanced level,” Liu Ye, an official from China’s central bank said at the same press conference.
The central bank will “maintain the flexibility of yuan while strengthening guidance on expectations to prevent the market from forming one-sided views expectations,” she added.
The bank will also resolutely guard against the risk of exchange rate overshooting and keep the yuan stable at a reasonable and balanced level, according to Liu.
Chinese firms are squirreling away even more dollars, pricing contracts in yuan, and opening import lines to mitigate currency risks.
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